Pre-tourney Rankings
Illinois St.
Missouri Valley
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating+3.0#121
Expected Predictive Rating+3.0#124
Pace68.5#216
Improvement+5.3#12

Offense
Total Offense-0.6#185
First Shot-1.0#207
After Offensive Rebound+0.4#144
Layup/Dunks-2.9#293
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#67
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#100
Freethrows-2.1#304
Improvement+3.4#32

Defense
Total Defense+3.5#83
First Shot+1.6#124
After Offensive Rebounds+1.9#20
Layups/Dunks+1.0#139
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#158
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#217
Freethrows+1.1#94
Improvement+2.0#70
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2015 53   @ San Diego St. L 60-71 18%     0 - 1 +1.7 -5.0 +7.4
  Nov 16, 2015 144   Morehead St. W 67-66 67%     1 - 1 -0.6 -2.6 +2.0
  Nov 19, 2015 95   South Dakota St. L 67-83 50%     1 - 2 -13.1 -12.1 +0.7
  Nov 21, 2015 284   Houston Baptist W 72-56 90%     2 - 2 +5.1 -9.8 +14.6
  Nov 24, 2015 22   Maryland L 66-77 14%     2 - 3 +3.8 -3.2 +7.6
  Nov 25, 2015 113   TCU L 60-71 48%     2 - 4 -7.5 -8.5 +1.0
  Nov 30, 2015 7   @ Kentucky L 63-75 6%     2 - 5 +9.1 -10.1 +20.4
  Dec 05, 2015 117   UAB L 61-74 60%     2 - 6 -12.7 -10.7 -2.4
  Dec 13, 2015 174   Murray St. W 63-61 74%     3 - 6 -1.6 -6.4 +5.0
  Dec 16, 2015 331   @ Illinois-Chicago W 72-60 88%     4 - 6 +2.4 -2.4 +4.5
  Dec 19, 2015 44   @ Saint Joseph's L 65-79 16%     4 - 7 -0.4 -0.6 -0.4
  Dec 22, 2015 167   Tennessee St. W 66-55 73%     5 - 7 +7.6 -1.1 +9.6
  Dec 30, 2015 221   Missouri St. W 74-61 81%     6 - 7 1 - 0 +6.5 +8.7 -0.6
  Jan 03, 2016 254   @ Drake W 67-62 70%     7 - 7 2 - 0 +2.4 -2.2 +5.1
  Jan 06, 2016 175   Loyola Chicago W 54-52 74%     8 - 7 3 - 0 -1.7 -12.7 +11.3
  Jan 09, 2016 165   @ Indiana St. L 65-77 52%     8 - 8 3 - 1 -9.5 -9.1 +0.8
  Jan 12, 2016 135   @ Southern Illinois L 78-81 42%     8 - 9 3 - 2 +1.9 +7.3 -5.4
  Jan 15, 2016 78   Evansville L 55-66 46%     8 - 10 3 - 3 -6.9 -15.7 +9.0
  Jan 20, 2016 314   @ Bradley W 55-52 83%     9 - 10 4 - 3 -4.3 -12.1 +7.9
  Jan 23, 2016 80   Northern Iowa W 76-67 46%     10 - 10 5 - 3 +13.1 +12.8 +1.1
  Jan 26, 2016 254   Drake W 76-64 86%     11 - 10 6 - 3 +3.6 +2.3 +2.2
  Jan 30, 2016 221   @ Missouri St. L 81-84 OT 64%     11 - 11 6 - 4 -3.6 -0.8 -2.4
  Feb 03, 2016 175   @ Loyola Chicago W 78-70 53%     12 - 11 7 - 4 +10.2 +19.5 -8.2
  Feb 06, 2016 24   Wichita St. W 58-53 21%     13 - 11 8 - 4 +16.6 +0.1 +17.1
  Feb 11, 2016 78   @ Evansville W 70-60 25%     14 - 11 9 - 4 +19.9 +2.4 +17.4
  Feb 14, 2016 314   Bradley W 75-60 93%     15 - 11 10 - 4 +1.8 +6.9 -4.1
  Feb 17, 2016 165   Indiana St. W 78-50 73%     16 - 11 11 - 4 +24.7 +8.1 +16.7
  Feb 20, 2016 80   @ Northern Iowa L 66-75 25%     16 - 12 11 - 5 +0.9 +6.2 -6.3
  Feb 24, 2016 135   Southern Illinois W 73-50 65%     17 - 12 12 - 5 +22.1 +5.0 +19.0
  Feb 27, 2016 24   @ Wichita St. L 58-74 9%     17 - 13 12 - 6 +1.5 -1.3 +2.3
  Mar 04, 2016 165   Indiana St. L 57-65 63%     17 - 14 -8.4 -17.1 +9.4
Projected Record 17.0 - 14.0 12.0 - 6.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 100.0% 100.0
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%